League model board

Nigeria Premier Football League predictions

Independent home, draw and away probabilities published before kick-off, with the original call kept on the match page through live play and final review.

1 upcoming0 live1 reviewed

Demo league record

Performance in this competition

Settled
3
Top-pick hit rate
66.7%
Brier score
0.176

Current board

Published match probabilities

Open a match to see its timestamp, model version, probability table and the factors behind the call. Fixture times are shown in WAT; readers in Kenya can add two hours for EAT.

Rivers United vs Shooting Stars prediction

Nigeria Premier Football League

Thu, 9 Jul · 16:00 WAT · 18:00 EAT

Full time

Rivers United

Home
2–016:00 WAT18:00 EAT

Shooting Stars

Away

Model call

home

Confidence52%
Home52%
Draw29%
Away19%

Competition-specific evidence

How Nigeria Premier Football League predictions are evaluated

This Nigeria Premier Football League board gives NPFL fixtures a dedicated, verifiable prediction record rather than burying them inside a generic worldwide tips feed.

NPFL rows must meet the same history, freshness and publication safeguards as every other league; if coverage is insufficient, the board remains empty instead of filling gaps with invented calls.

Competition
Nigeria Premier Football League
Country
Nigeria
Forecast
Home · Draw · Away
Evaluation
Hit rate · Brier score · Calibration

Explore

Other covered leagues

Accountability

The record stays public

Demo model record

The numbers, including the misses.

Results are settled from the final score. No deleted picks, no edited probabilities, no hiding behind a winning streak.

Hit rate
54.2%
13 of 24 settled picks
Brier score
0.188
Lower is better
Hits / misses
13 / 11
54.2% observed
Calibration gap
14.8 pts
Weighted across buckets

Probability check

When we say 60%, how often does it happen?

Predicted vs actual
Model bucketPredictedActualDifferenceMatches
Below 40%37%20%-17 pts5
40–49%45%71%+26 pts7
50–59%55%50%-5 pts8
60%+65%75%+11 pts4

Demo notice: accuracy figures on this preview are illustrative and are not a claim of live model performance.