Independent home, draw and away probabilities published before kick-off, with the original call kept on the match page through live play and final review.
1 upcoming0 live1 reviewed
Demo league record
Performance in this competition
Settled
3
Top-pick hit rate
66.7%
Brier score
0.176
Current board
Published match probabilities
Open a match to see its timestamp, model version, probability table and the factors behind the call. Fixture times are shown in WAT; readers in Kenya can add two hours for EAT.
Enyimba vs Remo Stars prediction
NPFL
Nigeria Premier Football League
Sun, 12 Jul · 16:00 WAT · 18:00 EAT
Pre-match
E
Enyimba
Home
vs16:00 WAT18:00 EAT
R
Remo Stars
Away
Model call
home
Confidence49%
Home49%
Draw31%
Away20%
What moved the model
Enyimba's home points rate is 0.71 higher than their away rate.
Remo Stars carry the better overall Elo but lose the edge after venue adjustment.
Recent meetings have been low scoring, lifting the draw prior.
Rivers United vs Shooting Stars prediction
NPFL
Nigeria Premier Football League
Thu, 9 Jul · 16:00 WAT · 18:00 EAT
Full time
R
Rivers United
Home
2–016:00 WAT18:00 EAT
S
Shooting Stars
Away
Model call
home
Confidence52%
Home52%
Draw29%
Away19%
Competition-specific evidence
How Nigeria Premier Football League predictions are evaluated
This Nigeria Premier Football League board gives NPFL fixtures a dedicated, verifiable prediction record rather than burying them inside a generic worldwide tips feed.
NPFL rows must meet the same history, freshness and publication safeguards as every other league; if coverage is insufficient, the board remains empty instead of filling gaps with invented calls.
Competition
Nigeria Premier Football League
Country
Nigeria
Forecast
Home · Draw · Away
Evaluation
Hit rate · Brier score · Calibration
Explore
Other covered leagues
Accountability
The record stays public
Demo model record
The numbers, including the misses.
Results are settled from the final score. No deleted picks, no edited probabilities, no hiding behind a winning streak.
Hit rate
54.2%
13 of 24 settled picks
Brier score
0.188
Lower is better
Hits / misses
13 / 11
54.2% observed
Calibration gap
14.8 pts
Weighted across buckets
Probability check
When we say 60%, how often does it happen?
Predicted vs actual
Model bucket
Predicted
Actual
Difference
Matches
Below 40%
37%
20%
-17 pts
5
40–49%
45%
71%
+26 pts
7
50–59%
55%
50%
-5 pts
8
60%+
65%
75%
+11 pts
4
Demo notice: accuracy figures on this preview are illustrative and are not a claim of live model performance.