League model board
Independent home, draw and away probabilities published before kick-off, with the original call kept on the match page through live play and final review.
Demo league record
Current board
Open a match to see its timestamp, model version, probability table and the factors behind the call. Fixture times are shown in WAT; readers in Kenya can add two hours for EAT.
La Liga
Mon, 13 Jul · 20:00 WAT · 22:00 EAT
Barcelona
HomeSevilla
AwayModel call
home
What moved the model
La Liga
Sun, 12 Jul · 18:30 WAT · 20:30 EAT
Real Sociedad
HomeVillarreal
AwayModel call
home
Competition-specific evidence
This Spain La Liga board connects current 1X2 model probabilities to permanent match pages, publication evidence and the competition's own settled record.
La Liga forecasts use the shared feature schema and acceptance gates, while the public league split reveals whether those probabilities calibrate specifically within this competition.
Accountability
Demo model record
Results are settled from the final score. No deleted picks, no edited probabilities, no hiding behind a winning streak.
Probability check
| Model bucket | Predicted | Actual | Difference | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Below 40% | 37% | 20% | -17 pts | 5 |
| 40–49% | 45% | 71% | +26 pts | 7 |
| 50–59% | 55% | 50% | -5 pts | 8 |
| 60%+ | 65% | 75% | +11 pts | 4 |
Demo notice: accuracy figures on this preview are illustrative and are not a claim of live model performance.