League model board
Independent home, draw and away probabilities published before kick-off, with the original call kept on the match page through live play and final review.
Demo league record
Current board
Open a match to see its timestamp, model version, probability table and the factors behind the call. Fixture times are shown in WAT; readers in Kenya can add two hours for EAT.
FKF Premier League
Sun, 12 Jul · 14:00 WAT · 16:00 EAT
Gor Mahia
HomeAFC Leopards
AwayModel call
home
What moved the model
FKF Premier League
Fri, 10 Jul · 19:45 WAT · 21:45 EAT
Tusker
HomeKenya Police
AwayModel call
home
Competition-specific evidence
This Kenya FKF Premier League board publishes timestamped 1X2 probabilities with the same model-version and settlement trail used across the full public ledger.
FKF Premier League accuracy is exposed separately, and forecasts are withheld whenever the production feed or historical feature window cannot support an official locked record.
Accountability
Demo model record
Results are settled from the final score. No deleted picks, no edited probabilities, no hiding behind a winning streak.
Probability check
| Model bucket | Predicted | Actual | Difference | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Below 40% | 37% | 20% | -17 pts | 5 |
| 40–49% | 45% | 71% | +26 pts | 7 |
| 50–59% | 55% | 50% | -5 pts | 8 |
| 60%+ | 65% | 75% | +11 pts | 4 |
Demo notice: accuracy figures on this preview are illustrative and are not a claim of live model performance.